Investing in times of economic recession-A Warren Buffet story

When one talks about value investing, one of the first investors to come to mind is warren buffet, who has become a billionaire through his unique brand of investing that he has followed faithfully and consistently over many years. But his fortunes too have been adversely affected by the current economic downturn.

Buffett has recently invested $11.5 Billion worth in companies like GE, Goldman Sachs, Tiffany’s, Harley Davidson, and Swiss Re. Many of these investments have incurred him significant losses, at least for the short term. Berkshire Hathaway’s acquisition of 10% perpetual preferred stock of Goldman Sachs at $123, which then fell to below $60, was one of these. Another loss was his October 2008 purchase of GE preferred stock, priced in the mid 20’s. Since then GE has lost market capitalization and is currently trading below 10$. Warren buffet’s investments in Wells Fargo, American Express, Moody’s and U.S. Bancorp are all bringing him losses due to the underperformance of the financial sector. While his investments in derivatives, which he has previously criticized as being “weapons of financial mass destruction” have met with allegations of hypocrisy and $6.73 billion mark-to-market losses. Shares of Buffett’s insurance and investment company Berkshire Hathaway are currently trading at a price of under 85,000$ from a peak of $147,000, and it has also reported a 77% drop in earnings during Q3 2008. These losses and failures have brought criticism upon Buffett and his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway, and has led some investors to question the effectiveness of his method of investing, which has many followers worldwide, in the current economic climate.

Do his principles, which have brought him (And others) much wealth still hold true? There is no definite answer. Buffett has, like many other investors suffered many losses and setbacks. However one has to keep in mind that Buffett has made major mistakes before, in investments such as Salomon Inc and US Air and still gone on to make untold profits. However, a distinction that analysts make between Buffett and others who follow his investment philosophies, is that Buffett has a ready flow of cash, huge amount of capital and gets special deals from companies due to his reputation. So while only time will tell if Buffett’s philosophies will work as in the past, the followers of his methods will have to be more careful than Buffett himself.

One Response

  1. Add this article to a very long list that provide incorrect information about Berkshire Hathaway.

    Regarding the recently invested $11.5B, their is NO loss. He didn’t buy the common stock, and the declines listed will cause no loss to Berkshire. Berkshire will only lose if the companies go bankrupt and fail to pay on preferred stock. Not only that, but it may get a HUGE bonus, because Berkshire was give warrants to purchase common (at its choice) on some of these issues, and is close to being in the money on the Goldman Sachs investment. This could mean BILLIONS of profits in addition to the 10% dividend.

    Buffett has explained the derivatives quite a bit. These will only bring losses to Berkshire if the markets continue poor performance for the next dozen or so years, a historically unlikely event.

    Both the drop in Berkshire’s price and 3rd quarter loss are due to market conditions. Check other insurance or investment companies and you’ll see worse. Berkshire is operated in a manner where quarter to quarter and year to year income/loss often fluctuates. The operating earnings are holding up fine given the difficult environment.

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